Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.398642 0.439913 0.484182 0.535289 0.592774 0.655562 0.729504
2025-07-06 0.318645 0.373028 0.435501 0.512942 0.606858 0.717694 0.859327
2025-07-13 0.284954 0.347161 0.422039 0.519544 0.644238 0.799801 1.010837
2025-07-20 0.260384 0.327515 0.411417 0.525156 0.677126 0.875747 1.159254
2025-07-27 0.241197 0.311731 0.402766 0.530537 0.707918 0.949482 1.310359
2025-08-03 0.224458 0.297048 0.393412 0.532883 0.733240 1.016404 1.457405
2025-08-10 0.211244 0.285628 0.386938 0.537761 0.761395 1.088609 1.618662
2025-08-17 0.194695 0.268089 0.370257 0.526082 0.763541 1.121644 1.722191
2025-08-24 0.185528 0.260157 0.366344 0.532303 0.792338 1.196830 1.899949
2025-08-31 0.174796 0.249086 0.356866 0.529030 0.805625 1.248136 2.043024
2025-09-07 0.166624 0.241156 0.351339 0.531119 0.827120 1.313990 2.217631
2025-09-14 0.156853 0.230136 0.340284 0.523422 0.831621 1.351339 2.344958
2025-09-21 0.148325 0.220633 0.331149 0.518441 0.840743 1.398316 2.497516
2025-09-28 0.136932 0.206015 0.313078 0.497433 0.820670 1.392058 2.548260
2025-10-05 0.132377 0.201899 0.311457 0.503777 0.848736 1.474830 2.783139
2025-10-12 0.127989 0.197754 0.309458 0.509193 0.875385 1.557239 3.027600
2025-10-19 0.123885 0.193804 0.307478 0.514383 0.901870 1.641636 3.287088
2025-10-26 0.119538 0.189185 0.304048 0.516646 0.922882 1.717114 3.537060
2025-11-02 0.115922 0.185575 0.302085 0.521352 0.948836 1.804850 3.826442
2025-11-09 0.109869 0.177495 0.291897 0.510086 0.942396 1.824991 3.961222
2025-11-16 0.107019 0.174775 0.290951 0.516087 0.970919 1.921493 4.292229
2025-11-23 0.102922 0.169664 0.285439 0.512929 0.980378 1.977593 4.531392
2025-11-30 0.099858 0.166212 0.282712 0.514945 1.000671 2.059471 4.848044